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Craig Helmstetter is the lead researcher for the Minnesota Compass quality of life initiative led by Wilder Research. He oversees information presented on topics related to our state's well-being including immigration, education, employment, housing, health and other topics critical to Minnesota. Craig is a fourth generation descendant of German and Norwegian immigrants. |
A group working on improving immigrant access to education and employment came to us recently with a request for information about immigrants in our region. While the information below is available on the Minnesota Compass website, the group found the list I compiled for them useful, so I thought I would share it.
1. The immigrant population is growing, rapidly.
Between 1990 and 2008 our region’s immigrant population grew by 236%! That is 10 times faster than the growth rate for the native-born population during that same period (23%). Immigrants now make up more than 10 percent of the population in the 7-county region.
2. The Twin Cities immigrant population is different from the U.S. as a whole
In recent years immigration has been the subject of heated national debate. Sometimes that same debate has crept into Minnesota’s policy discussions. The only problem with that is that things actually look different here. As pointed out in A New Age of Immigrants, a recent study done by Wilder Research for the Minneapolis Foundation, over half of all immigrants nationally are from Latin America, including Mexico. In the Twin Cities only about one-quarter of the immigrant population is from Latin America. Nationally only 4 percent of the immigrant population is from Africa. Here that figure is 22 percent.
On top of that is the fact that immigrants in Minnesota are much more likely to be refugees fleeing war-torn countries than are immigrants in most other states. In recent years, one in five of the state’s new immigrants has been a refugee or asylee fleeing persecution in their homeland.
3. As a group, immigrants are much younger than others in the Twin Cities
If you plot on a graph the number of people in each age category by 5-year increments by nativity, you will see a very obvious bulge among the native-born population, representing the baby boom generation. That bulge does not exist, however, for the state’s immigrant population, whose median age is somewhere in the low 30s. That has big implications for our current – and future – workforce.
4. A lot of kids in the Twin Cities are children of immigrants
Although many children are adopted from abroad, they and other child immigrants make up a relatively small proportion of our region’s overall school-aged and younger population. A bigger portion of kids, including nearly one-quarter of all pre-schoolers in the Twin Cities, are 1st generation Americans, straddling the culture (and sometimes language) of their parents and that of the country to which they were born.
5. When it comes to health, immigrants tend to have an advantage
Although this “immigrant health paradox” is a surprise to most of us, it is well known among public health researchers. And it exists here in the Twin Cities. In a recent study that we did for the Blue Cross and Blue Shield of Minnesota Foundation, The unequal distribution of health in the Twin Cities, we found that mortality rates for U.S.-born blacks were more than three times higher than those of foreign-born blacks in the Twin Cities. In fact the mortality rates of African immigrants were slightly lower than those of whites in our region, despite the huge gaps in income and education between the two groups.
6. Some immigrants are highly educated (others are not)
It may not surprise you that a higher proportion of our native-born population has a high school diploma than does our immigrant population (95% compared with 73%). It may, however, surprise some of you that advanced degrees are slightly more common among the region’s immigrant population than the rest of us (14% and 12%, respectively).
7. Most immigrants are employed, especially those who have been here 5 or more years
The best comparative data that we have on workforce participation lags current market conditions by a few years, but it is still telling. According to census data collected from 2006-2008, about 74 percent of the local immigrant population age 16 to 64 was working for pay – not far off the 79 percent reported for the Twin Cities’ native-born population during that same time period.
What’s more, the overall rate of immigrant employment is pulled down a bit by the lower rate of the most recent immigrants; the workforce participation for those who have been here fewer than 5 years is 63 percent. Those who’ve been here longer have the same workforce participation rates as the native-born population. Of course this does not mean that everyone is working in the jobs that they would like, or our local economy is taking full advantage of the skills available among the immigrant workforce – but the same could be said for at least some of the native-born population as well.
8. Workforce participation rates vary considerably by specific immigrant group
Almost by definition immigrants are a diverse group. Also push and pull factors lead to waves of immigration at different times and with different skill sets. A current snapshot of the largest immigrant groups in Minnesota shows workforce participation rates varying from highs of over 75 percent for those born in India, Ethiopia, and Liberia, Russia, Vietnam and China to a low of 55 percent for the most recent of the larger immigration populations, Somali immigrants.
9. Our future workforce may be even more dependent on immigrants
As the baby boom generation enters retirement, the workforce is changing dramatically. Currently, for every 1 person of retirement age in the Twin Cites there are 6 people in their prime working years, age 18 to 64. If current projections hold, by 2030 that ratio will be cut in half with just 3 workforce-aged people for every 1 person in their golden years!
This change raises questions like: Will there be enough health care workers and tax revenues to support the aging population? What about tax revenues? For that matter, will there be enough workers (who are both producers and consumers) to fuel continued economic growth in our region? Obviously one of the ways to increase the size of our future workforce is to welcome and educate young immigrants coming to our region.
10. Our region’s future prosperity depends on closing the achievement gap.
Regardless of whether we actively seek to increase our immigrant population, our future workforce will be dependent on the relatively young immigrants who are already here. As noted above, immigrants tend to be younger than the rest of us, and many are in their childbearing years. In fact, 1 of every 5 kids in our region is either an immigrant or (much more commonly) a child of an immigrant.
Unfortunately, whether we look at 3rd grade reading scores, 11th grade math scores, or high school graduation rates, there are yawning gaps between students with limited English proficiency and English-speaking students. Closing these gaps is in our collective best interest.
Wilder Research
E-mail: research@wilder.org
Phone: 651-280-2700
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